Monday should be mostly sunny and not a lot of impacts for us. Tuesday could have some scattered showers throughout the region before the next big system comes through Wednesday into Thursday. A strong cold front looks likely to sweep through West Virginia on Wednesday that could usher in the potential for some stronger storms out ahead of it, and will plummet temperatures behind it. As the temperatures plummet, some rain/snow mix could be possible, although impacts and accumulations should remain slim.
Focusing on that strong storm potential, we had the potential this past Saturday, but dewpoints remained in upper 40’s to low 50’s, while dewpoints on Wednesday look to be higher. This increase in moisture could lead to the storms potentially being stronger than this past Saturday. Also, energy in the atmosphere already looks to be higher than what we had on Saturday, which could lead to more lightning/thunder on Wednesday. Obviously this will all change as we get closer to Wednesday. Tuesday could also limit what we see if the storms out west across Illinois/Missouri end up being fairly strong, as that could limit the energy that will be left over into our area.
Looking at the European model rain forecast over the next 7 days. It increased a little from yesterday, but still around an inch of rain expected for most of us. Depending on where the heavier showers/storms pass over on Wednesday could favor a little more rain in those areas. All stuff we have to continue to watch.
Temperatures will be fairly mild into the mid 70’s by Wednesday. The chance of strong storms and then snow still exists going Wednesday into Thursday. We dry out going Friday and Saturday before another system looks possible going into Wednesday.
