It’s a nice, but warm day today around the region, with temperatures in the 80s. So far, the atmospheric cap is holding (meaning that warm and dry air is still in place above the surface). As long as that is the case, we’ll stay fairly dry, but if it breaks, severe weather is a possibility today and tonight.
Tomorrow, we are set up to see the most significant severe weather outbreak of the season so far, with multiple rounds of severe storms bringing all of the threats that the Storm Prediction Center tracks (large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes) in addition to possibilities for flash flooding for areas that get caught underneath the storms. You can see what our high resolution Futurecast model is predicting below…
For the first time this season, our area is in the “Enhanced” risk area for severe storms. Winds are a particular threat, as squall lines will likely form and wind gusts within the lines could possibly exceed hurricane force. Isolated tornadoes could also spin up in the squall lines as they pass through. With strong updrafts in the storms, large hail is also a possibility. Our high-resolution model predicts that there will be several of these lines, so we’ll have to stay weather aware throughout the day.
