The Storm Prediction Center has placed our area under a Slight Risk (Level 2/5) for Wednesday. Severe thunderstorms are possible across the area as a cold front sweeps through the region. There still is still some uncertainty on if storms will fire in parts of Southern West Virginia during Wednesday afternoon/evening.
If storms do initiate in the afternoon/evening, then the potential for damaging winds, hail and potentially a brief tornado will exist with it. If storms do NOT initiate until the cold front makes it way to our area, then damaging winds appear to be the main threat, but a brief tornado cannot be ruled out with how the winds in the atmosphere will be.
Here is a look at Wednesday/Thursday on the European model. First picture is at 10 PM Wednesday, showing the line with the cold front making its way into our region. Once that cold front passes through, temperatures will drop nearly 40 degrees for some. As that happens, some rain/snow mix is possible. Accumulation will be little to none as temperatures have been record-breaking at times recently and temperatures should stay for most above freezing.
The European model says almost everyone gets over an inch of rain over the next 7 days. That is due to the multiple storm systems moving through our region. Isolated flash flooding cannot be ruled out at anytime throughout the next 7 days, especially for those who see the heaviest rains out of this.
Here is the full 7 day forecast that shows our 40 degree temperature drop into Thursday morning. We dry up Friday and Saturday with a near miss for rain on Friday. Late Sunday night into Monday, we look to see another system moving into our region that has a chance for rain/snow again. We will continue to track that one!
