It is a warm and windy afternoon around the region.
After a cool start to the day, it is also warming up quickly as the afternoon goes on, and temperatures this afternoon are much warmer than they were at this time yesterday.
However, a front is approaching the area this afternoon, and it is expected to produce several days’ worth of chances for rain for much of the state, especially for areas near the Ohio River. Some of the rain there could amount to several inches, and this could cause significant flooding in those areas. We’ll also get some rain, but nowhere near the kind of rain expected there. Because of the threat for heavy rain, that area is also under a Flood Watch through Sunday. The good news in all this is that rainfall totals will appear to be less than originally expected, meaning that the flooding will not be as heavy as previously thought.
Rain totals may not be relatively as high for us, but severe weather is still a possibility. From tomorrow through Friday morning, all of the threats that the Storm Prediction Center tracks (damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes) are still in play. Damaging winds are the main threat, but hail is also a possibility. A brief tornado can’t be ruled out, but the chances for that are minimal.
Here at StormWatch 4, we also pay close attention to the possibility for flooding, and that remains a possibility if we see heavy rain. However, any water issues should involve ponding water on roads and gathering water in low-lying spots that flood during heavy rains. As of this moment, widespread flooding is not expected. The GFS and European models have less than one-half inch in any spot. Here are the two models’ predictions for rain over the next 48 hours (the GFS is on the left).
This would certainly not cause any flooding, but as always, we’ll track it for you.
