The Storm Prediction Center has placed our northern areas under a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms Sunday. Rogue wind gusts up to 60 MPH are the main threat with the strongest of storms as well as heavy rainfall and frequent lightning being possible. Monday also sees a Marginal Risk, but mainly across the southern parts of our area, the same risks are possible in any of those storms. The risk for flash flooding appears elevated on Tuesday compared to any other day early week. Nonetheless, a Slight Risk of flash flooding includes parts of Nicholas and Fayette counties for Sunday.
 
Rain is expected for some parts of our area through Thursday morning, some straggling showers and storms are possible Thursday afternoon, but for the majority of our area the rain will be exiting on Thursday before 1 PM. That will set up cooler temperatures and calmer weather for late week into next weekend.
The European model shows quite a bit of rain falling across our area over the next 7 days, while the GFS is less bullish but keeps everyone over an inch. Most of this rain falls on Tuesday in the European’s futurecast, but I do think it’s a little high on totals over the widespread area. Some localized areas could pick up 2-3 inches of rain if thunderstorms train over the same areas on multiple days, that appears most likely in our northern counties.
Looking at that full 7 day forecast, temperatures will cool leisurely over the next couple of days, before they really start to drop quickly heading into mid-week. Some of the low temperatures as we head into Friday and Saturday morning could reach of the 40’s for some of our areas, mainly in the higher elevations. The high temperatures plummet to the mid 60’s and could trend slightly lower than forecast now, depending on how the models navigate over the next few days.
Watch the full forecast below!
