MORGANTOWN, WV (WOAY) – With less than a week before the election for the United States Senate, incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin leads Republican Patrick Morrisey by five percentage points among likely voters, according to the latest MetroNews/Dominion Post West Virginia Poll.
Based on data collected between October 19-30, Manchin holds a 45 percent to 40 percent lead over West Virginia Attorney General Morrisey, with Libertarian candidate Rusty Hollen receiving 11 percent, and five percent undecided.
“Senator Manchin’s lead appears to have slipped slightly from eight percentage points in our late August poll to five percentage points,” Rex Repass, director of the West Virginia Poll and president of Research America Inc. said. “We designed the methodology to identify likely voters as thoroughly as possible and only interview registered voters who have either voted early or plan to vote next Tuesday.”
Enthusiasm for this year’s election plays a role in who voters will support, according to Repass. “Among early voters – those who claim to have voted absentee or early, Morrisey leads Manchin by two percentage points. To be clear, however, the segment of voters who voted early is only about 16 percent of the total. Among poll respondents who are waiting until next Tuesday to vote, Manchin appears to have a slight enthusiasm advantage.”
Libertarian Hollen’s support is strongest among those voters who identify themselves as liberal or leaning liberal (15 percent) and among women (13 percent). “While historically, it would be unique if a third-party candidate in West Virginia received 10 percent or more of the vote, Hollen may be the beneficiary of the more liberal wing of the Democratic party and women who are upset with Senator Manchin’s vote for Brett Kavanaugh,” Repass added.
Complete results of the MetroNews/Dominion Post West Virginia Poll follow, including a summary of the methodology used to conduct the survey.